Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
A. De Minaur vs M. Arnaldi

Alex De Minaur

AUS

1

Win

Played

0

Win

Age

6'0" (183 cm)

Height

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$13.8M

Career Money

$2.5M

Right-Handed

Plays

Matteo Arnaldi

ITA

1

Win

Played

0

Win

Age

6'0" (183 cm)

Height

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$13.8M

Career Money

$2.5M

Right-Handed

Plays

Head-to-head: Minaur 1 - 0 Arnaldi

They have played 3 sets in total, with Alex De Minaur winning 3 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 0. The last match between Alex De Minaur and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 17-01-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Alex De Minaur getting the victory 6-3 6-0 6-3.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Minaur	1
Arnaldi	0

Last 1 H2H Matches:

(R2) Australian Open - Melbourne(01-17-24)

Stats

Alex De Minaur

Matteo Arnaldi

A. D. Minaur vs M. Arnaldi H2H Profile

A. D. Minaur	Stats	M. Arnaldi
$13,814,330	Career Prize Money	$2,532,865
64.47% (421-232)	Career Total W/L	59.90% (239-160)
1	Hard	0
12	Titles	6
1	Total H2H Matches	0
70.00% (56-24)	YTD Win/Loss	45.45% (20-24)
1	YTD Titles	0

A. D. Minaur vs M. Arnaldi Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alex De Minaur has won 46.19% of points on their second serve, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.70%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alex De Minaur, in recent form, has won 42.61% of their opponent's second serve points, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 44.17%. The same stats for first serve returns are 23.75% and 23.92% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Alex De Minaur has saved 56.63% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.40% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Alex De Minaur has won 70.00% of matches played (W/L 56/24), with Matteo Arnaldi winning 46.94% (W/L 23/26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Alex De Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 54/25), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 75/56). Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 68% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28).
Player level: In the last year, Alex De Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 75.00% of matches (W/L 21/7), where as Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Alex De Minaur winning 1 times and Matteo Arnaldi being victorious 0 times. They have played 3 sets in total, with Alex De Minaur winning 3 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 0.
The last match between Alex De Minaur and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 17-01-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Alex De Minaur getting the victory 6-3 6-0 6-3.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:0:0.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alex De Minaur has played against opponents with an average rank of 61.9 while Matteo Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 62.92.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alex De Minaur has won 44% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Alex De Minaur has converted 25.93% of breakpoint opportunities, and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 23.42% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

A. D. Minaur vs M. Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

A. D. Minaur	Stats	M. Arnaldi
1	H2H Matches Won	0
3	Sets Won	0
18	Games Won	6
4	Aces (Total)	4
3	Total Double Faults	2
2:0:0	Average Match Time	2:0:0
60% (49/82)	1st Serve %	49% (40/82)
76% (37/49)	1st Serve Win %	60% (24/40)
52% (17/33)	2nd Serve Win %	36% (15/42)
50% (7/14)	Break Pts Won %	17% (1/6)
52% (43/82)	Return Points Win %	34% (28/82)
100% (1/1)	Best‑of‑5 Win %	0% (0/1)
100% (1/1)	1st Set Won, Won Match	0% (0/0)
0% (0/1)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	0% (0/0)
0% (0/0)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	0% (0/1)

Recent Performance Stats

A. D. Minaur Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin - 10-11-2025
SF Jannik SinnerJ. Sinner	L	7-5 6-2	Stats
Robin Taylor FritzT. Fritz	W	7-6(3) 6-3	Stats
Robin Lorenzo MusettiL. Musetti	L	7-5 3-6 7-5	Stats
Robin Carlos AlcarazC. Alcaraz	L	7-6(5) 6-2	Stats
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025
QF Alexander BublikA. Bublik	L	6-7(5) 6-4 7-5	Stats

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M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025
Q1 Jacob FearnleyJ. Fearnley	L	7-5 6-2	Stats
Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025
R2 Alexander ZverevA. Zverev	L	6-4 6-4	Stats
R1 Aleksandar KovacevicA. Kovacevic	W	7-5 6-4	Stats
Q3 Tristan SchoolkateT. Schoolkate	W	7-6(5) 6-3	Stats
Q1 Jesper De JongJ. De	W	6-4 7-6(5)	Stats

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A. D. Minaur vs M. Arnaldi Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

A. D. Minaur	Stats	M. Arnaldi
64.47% (421/232)	YTD Win/Loss	59.90% (239/160)
60.93% (1001/642)	Sets Win/Loss	57.91% (560/407)
53.91% (8383/7167)	Games Win/Loss	52.58% (4842/4366)
67.45% (201/97)	Hard Win/Loss	60.71% (85/55)
57.25% (75/56)	Clay Win/Loss	65.35% (132/70)
62.76% (91/54)	Indoor Hard W/L	38.30% (18/29)
68.35% (54/25)	Grass Win/Loss	40.00% (4/6)
0.3	Aces Per Game	0.36
2269	Aces Total	1621
0.21	Double Faults Per Game	0.25
1616	Total Double Faults	1126
1:45:12	Average Match Time	1:45:46
280.16	Average Opponent Rank	301.74
58% (27310/46777)	1st Serve %	59% (16488/28035)
71% (19283/27327)	1st Serve Win %	68% (11281/16488)
54% (10459/19482)	2nd Serve Win %	50% (5794/11542)
43% (2046/4781)	Break Points Won % (Total)	43% (1155/2712)
40% (19470/48360)	Return Points Win %	40% (10868/27336)
64.58% (62/34)	Slam W/L	56.25% (18/14)
55.20% (69/56)	Masters W/L	54.39% (31/26)
61.54% (24/15)	Cups W/L	80.00% (4/1)
67.52% (158/76)	Main Tour W/L	48.57% (34/36)
14.29% (1/6)	Tour Finals W/L	0% (0/0)
66.67% (52/26)	Challenger W/L	59.84% (73/49)
74.32% (55/19)	Futures W/L	70.27% (78/33)
64% (343/537)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	61% (223/367)
66% (72/109)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	43% (12/28)
56% (132/234)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	58% (76/131)
58% (108/187)	Deciding Set Win %	51% (68/133)
88% (401/352)	1st Set Won, Won Match	83% (242/200)
12% (401/49)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	17% (242/42)
27% (252/69)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	24% (156/37)