Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
A. De Minaur vs M. Arnaldi
Alex De Minaur
AUS
w
l
w
w
w
l
w
w
l
l
1
Win
1
Played
0
Win
26
Age
24
6'0" (183 cm)
Height
-
7
C. Rank
63
6
Best Rank
30
10
Total Titles
0
1
YTD Titles
0
$13.8M
Career Money
$2.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
-
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
w
l
w
l
l
w
w
w
l
l
1
Win
1
Played
0
Win
26
Age
24
6'0" (183 cm)
Height
-
7
C. Rank
63
6
Best Rank
30
10
Total Titles
0
1
YTD Titles
0
$13.8M
Career Money
$2.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
-
Head-to-head: Minaur 1 - 0 Arnaldi
They have played 3 sets in total, with Alex De Minaur winning 3 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 0. The last match between Alex De Minaur and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 17-01-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Alex De Minaur getting the victory 6-3 6-0 6-3.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Minaur | 1 |
| Arnaldi | 0 |
Last 1 H2H Matches:
(R2) Australian Open - Melbourne(01-17-24)
Alex De Minaur
6
6
6
Matteo Arnaldi
3
0
3
A. D. Minaur vs M. Arnaldi H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $13,814,330 | Career Prize Money | $2,532,865 |
| 64.62% (420-230) | Career Total W/L | 59.90% (239-160) |
| 1 | Hard | 0 |
| 12 | Titles | 6 |
| 1 | Total H2H Matches | 0 |
| 71.43% (55-22) | YTD Win/Loss | 45.45% (20-24) |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
A. D. Minaur vs M. Arnaldi Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alex De Minaur has won 46.36% of points on their second serve, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.53%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alex De Minaur, in recent form, has won 42.98% of their opponent's second serve points, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 44.59%. The same stats for first serve returns are 24.12% and 25.15% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Alex De Minaur has saved 54.33% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.04% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Alex De Minaur has won 67.90% of matches played (W/L 55/26), with Matteo Arnaldi winning 46.94% (W/L 23/26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Alex De Minaur has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 68% (W/L 54/25), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 57% (W/L 75/56). Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 68% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28).
- Player level: In the last year, Alex De Minaur has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 75.00% of matches (W/L 21/7), where as Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Alex De Minaur winning 1 times and Matteo Arnaldi being victorious 0 times. They have played 3 sets in total, with Alex De Minaur winning 3 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 0.
- The last match between Alex De Minaur and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Australian Open - Melbourne, 17-01-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Alex De Minaur getting the victory 6-3 6-0 6-3.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:0:0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alex De Minaur has played against opponents with an average rank of 59.43 while Matteo Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 62.22.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alex De Minaur has won 44% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Alex De Minaur has converted 26.76% of breakpoint opportunities, and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 25.83% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Alex De Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldi Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
A. D. Minaur vs M. Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches Won | 0 |
| 3 | Sets Won | 0 |
| 18 | Games Won | 6 |
| 4 | Aces (Total) | 4 |
| 3 | Total Double Faults | 2 |
| 2:0:0 | Average Match Time | 2:0:0 |
| 60% (49/82) | 1st Serve % | 49% (40/82) |
| 76% (37/49) | 1st Serve Win % | 60% (24/40) |
| 52% (17/33) | 2nd Serve Win % | 36% (15/42) |
| 50% (7/14) | Break Pts Won % | 17% (1/6) |
| 52% (43/82) | Return Points Win % | 34% (28/82) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best‑of‑5 Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/0) |
| 0% (0/0) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Minaur 57%, Arnaldi 51%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Minaur 55%, Arnaldi 47%.
Break Points Saved %: Minaur 62%, Arnaldi 65%.
A. D. Minaur Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nitto ATP Finals - Turin - 10-11-2025 | ||||
Robin  Carlos AlcarazC. Alcaraz | L | 7-6(5) 6-2 | ||
| Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
QF  Alexander BublikA. Bublik | L | 6-7(5) 6-4 7-5 | ||
R3  Karen KhachanovK. Khachanov | W | 6-2 6-2 | ||
R2  Gabriel DialloG. Diallo | W | 7-6(8) 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025 | ||||
SF Jannik SinnerJ. Sinner | L | 6-3 6-4 | ||
M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
Q1  Jacob FearnleyJ. Fearnley | L | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025 | ||||
R2  Alexander ZverevA. Zverev | L | 6-4 6-4 | ||
R1  Aleksandar KovacevicA. Kovacevic | W | 7-5 6-4 | ||
Q3 Tristan SchoolkateT. Schoolkate | W | 7-6(5) 6-3 | ||
Q1  Jesper De JongJ. De | W | 6-4 7-6(5) | ||
A. D. Minaur vs M. Arnaldi Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 64.62% (420/230) | YTD Win/Loss | 59.90% (239/160) |
| 61.00% (998/638) | Sets Win/Loss | 57.91% (560/407) |
| 53.94% (8347/7128) | Games Win/Loss | 52.58% (4842/4366) |
| 67.45% (201/97) | Hard Win/Loss | 60.71% (85/55) |
| 57.25% (75/56) | Clay Win/Loss | 65.35% (132/70) |
| 63.38% (90/52) | Indoor Hard W/L | 38.30% (18/29) |
| 68.35% (54/25) | Grass Win/Loss | 40.00% (4/6) |
| 0.3 | Aces Per Game | 0.36 |
| 2246 | Aces Total | 1621 |
| 0.21 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.25 |
| 1611 | Total Double Faults | 1126 |
| 1:45:6 | Average Match Time | 1:45:46 |
| 281.26 | Average Opponent Rank | 302.44 |
| 58% (27155/46513) | 1st Serve % | 59% (16488/28035) |
| 71% (19176/27172) | 1st Serve Win % | 68% (11281/16488) |
| 54% (10402/19373) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (5794/11542) |
| 43% (2042/4768) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 43% (1155/2712) |
| 40% (19398/48142) | Return Points Win % | 40% (10868/27336) |
| 64.58% (62/34) | Slam W/L | 56.25% (18/14) |
| 55.20% (69/56) | Masters W/L | 54.39% (31/26) |
| 61.54% (24/15) | Cups W/L | 80.00% (4/1) |
| 67.52% (158/76) | Main Tour W/L | 48.57% (34/36) |
| 0.00% (0/4) | Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) |
| 66.67% (52/26) | Challenger W/L | 59.84% (73/49) |
| 74.32% (55/19) | Futures W/L | 70.27% (78/33) |
| 64% (342/534) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 61% (223/367) |
| 66% (72/109) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 43% (12/28) |
| 56% (131/233) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 58% (76/131) |
| 58% (108/186) | Deciding Set Win % | 51% (68/133) |
| 88% (400/351) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 83% (242/200) |
| 12% (400/49) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 17% (242/42) |
| 28% (250/69) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 24% (156/37) |
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